HIGH-FLYING
.COMS
By BETH PISKORA
The .coms are turning into .bombs.
The high-flying Internet stocks, so
recently the big favorites of investors, are crashing
and burning faster than you can say "IPO."
Many of the online companies that had
their initial public offerings within the past two years
and watched their stocks zoom higher are now trading
below their IPO prices.
And even as the technology-packed
Nasdaq composite index stemmed a losing streak by
turning up yesterday, many of the individual stocks in
the Internet sector continued to slump -- with close to
a dozen hitting all-time lows.
Yesterday's big losers included
Agency.com, Fogdog, Egghead and Fashionmall.com.
"A lot of these companies were
like premature babies, born before they were ready to
go, and they needed a lot of care before their viability
was assured," said Peter Cohan, author of E-Profit
and president of Cohan & Associates, a venture
capital and management consulting firm for technology
companies.
"It used to be that venture
capital firms or private investors would hand-hold a
company through this difficult period," Cohan said.
"But now public investors are left holding the
bag."
Those same public investors couldn't
have been happier last year when they bid a stock like
iVillage.com from its IPO price of $24 to a high of
$130. These investors didn't seem to care that iVillage
is not yet a profitable firm.
But now, with the stock trading below
the IPO price -- it closed yesterday at $21.38 --
investors are not so happy.
And iVillage is but one of dozens of
Internet stocks that have fallen precipitously.
These companies aren't flirting with
correction. They are in a raging bear market that some
strategists believe could trip up the entire market.
"The story is mania," said
Rick Berry, director of equity research at Centennial
Capital. "The Internet mania has already started to
unravel, but that's just the beginning. I worry where
this trend might take us."
Even the subsectors of Internet stocks
-- like the online brokerages, for example -- that are
still trading higher than their IPO prices are
significantly lower than their 52-week highs.
In fact, a list of the biggest .com
winners from last year corresponds almost exactly with
the list of the biggest losers so far this year.
Consider, for example, the fate of
MyPoints.com, the unprofitable Web site where consumers
can track their participation in loyalty programs like
airline frequent flier plans. Last year, it shot up from
its IPO price of $8 to close the year at $74. So far
this year, it has lost 37.33 percent to yesterday's
close of $46.38. Another big loser is Tickets.com, down
29.26 percent this year after a breathtaking ascent last
year.
"As the realization sets in that
the evaluations of these stocks are vaporous, investors
are selling off the 'concept' names in favor of the
companies with a proven business model," said Linda
Killian, a portfolio manager at Renaissance Capital.
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